IT COULD HAVE BEEN: THE GARGANTUAN CONVAIR XC-99

Everyone loves big planes. The bigger they are the more interesting they become. Famed mammoths like Howard Hughes’ HK-1 “Hercules,” otherwise known as the “Spruce Goose,” and Antanov’s gigantic An-225 “Dream” conger up feelings that man has somehow cheated nature by creating such flying hulks. Even today’s A380, the grand star of any international airport that can receive them, makes people stop in mid traffic just to marvel at it’s imposing form. So what really makes the cut as a gigantic airplane? There is no real criteria, it’s just one of those things that you know when you see it.

Buried deep amongst Aviation’s long line of flying juggernauts is a little known but very remarkable machine that rivals almost anything today in shear size and visual impact, the one of kind Convair XC-99. The XC-99 was first flown in 1947, seemingly a good year for mammoth aircraft (the Spruce Goose took its only flight in that year as well), in San Diego, CA. The XC-99 was a transport derivative of the legendary B-36 Peacemaker strategic bomber, a six piston engine toting pusher prop aluminum beast that became a staple of America’s long-range strategic strike capability for almost a decade. The idea of adapting the B-36 for the intercontinental transport role was fairly intuitive as the Peacemaker had true intercontinental reach and a sizable payload capability to begin with. Curtis utilized key components of the B-36 to produce the XC-99, although the fuselage was designed quite different from the bomber configuration. The XC-99 disposed of the B-36′s long and slender lines and replaced it with a massive double-decker cavernous body. The XC-99 truly looked like the grandfather of the Airbus A380 we know today. In it’s final configuration the aircraft could haul some 400 fully outfitted troops over long distances or over 100,000lbs of cargo.

Although the aircraft was considered literally a large success, the USAF never ordered any production examples. The jet age was right on the horizon and although the XC-99 was highly capable, many in the USAF’s leadership believed that investing further in maintenance intensive and finicky piston powered aircraft as something of a dead-end. Regardless, the XC-99 was put into service for 7 years, mainly as the B-36 fleet’s cargo hack. During the Korean War the lone XC-99 would fly from B-36 depot to depot and base to base full of parts in order to keep the complex Peacemakers flying.

By 1957 the XC-99 was increasingly expensive to maintain and operate and after 55+ million pounds of cargo and 7500 hours of flightime she was retired at Kelly Air Force Base.  She remained at Kelly for almost a half century until 2004 when she was disassembled and brought to Wright Patterson AFB for restoration and eventual display. Sadly, she has remained in pieces outside at Wright Patterson for years as the museum has been struggling with how involved the restoration of the now highly corroded aircraft would be. Regardless of her unfortunate state today this XC-99 was one seriously massive piece of hardware, and to think she could fly almost 10,000 miles on piston motors is just astonishing…

An interesting aspect of the XC-99 program was Convair’s almost successful attempt at turning the massive double-decker cargo-ship into a luxury airliner. Resembling the Airbus A380 of today, the Convair Model 37 would have had open living areas, circular staircases and many other luxury features more reminiscent of high-end trains or cruise-liners than an airliner as we know them today. The Model 37 was configured to carry 210 passengers in an all luxury layout over a 4500 mile distance. Continental even went as far as ordering 15 of these super jumbos of yesteryear, but once they came to the realization of just how much fuel and oil those six massive pistons would consume they pulled out of the project stating that it was economically un-marketable and unless the aircraft could be fitted with turboprops, a cutting edge technology at the time, they could not purchase the planes. Unfortunately turboprops never made it to the Model 37 and what would have been the largest airliner of it’s kind never made it off the drawing board.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Photos via Goleta Air & Space Museum, check them out at: http://www.air-and-space.com/

Filed in FAST HISTORY, History, It Could Have Been | Comment Now

THOUGHTS ON POISONOUS RAPTORS & WHISTLE-BLOWING FIGHTER PILOTS

DEFINITION: hypoxia- also referred to as altitude sickness, is caused due to a reduced amount of oxygen in the bloodstream affecting the brain and causing such symptoms as dizziness, shortness of breath, and mental confusion.

The onset of hypoxia can make it’s victim feel giddy at first, but it is no laughing matter if such a condition occurs while they are piloting an aircraft, or even worse, if they are piloting an advanced fighter traveling at high mach above 50,000 feet while they are deeply engrossed in a three-dimensional engagement with enemy fighter aircraft. In almost any case a hypoxia event occurring while flying an aircraft can be downright insidious and deadly. Often times those who have experienced hypoxia, either in a controlled setting like a decompression chamber, or in an operational environment like the one mentioned above, have referred to it’s strange symptoms of tingling skin, partial loss of vision, total fixation on simple tasks, confusion, spacial disorientation, with as much respect as outright fear. A good description of just how sneaky this physiological condition can manifest itself comes from an RAF Jaguar pilot who stated:”You don’t know what you’ve lost until you get it back…”

Without proper cockpit pressurization or oxygen the higher a pilot flys the more aggressive hypoxia symptoms manifest themselves. At 25,000ft, with no pressurization, one can experience 3 to 5 minutes of increasing hypoxia related symptoms before finally passing out. At 50,000 feet that time is cut down to just under 10 seconds. What complicates matters further is that most aircraft that fly at higher altitudes are pressurized to a certain degree, and a weakening pressure differential due to a leak or system malfunction can result in a slow march toward extreme hypoxia related systems. In other words, this condition can creep up very slowly and sometimes totally unannounced, and as such a person affected by it may not realize they are in danger until it’s too late. In some ways you can think of hypoxia as a set of two intersecting graphs. As the oxygen starvation line increases the other line representing the subjects cognitive ability decreases, so the window where a person could comprehensively self diagnose themselves for hypoxia and take quick action as a result is slim to the say the least. The most interesting thing about hypoxia is that in most cases with just the donning of an oxygen mask and the flip of a switch the symptoms evaporate in just a matter of seconds.

You can get an idea of exactly how this dangerous phenomenon manifests itself in the following videos:

TECHNOLOGY BEHIND OBOGS & THE F-22

On-Board Oxygen Generation Systems (OBOGS) were developed decades ago in an attempt to lessen the maintenance demands, volatility, transportation needs and weight associated with compressed oxygen storage aboard aircraft. OBOGS works by rerouting bleed air from the aircraft’s jet motors through a complex sieve system and into the pilot’s oxygen mask in a filtered form. The system also works as a way of filtering nuclear, chemical and biological elements in the ambient air outside of the vehicle during times of war. Further, the same system or ones similar to OBOGS can generate inert gas that is pumped into the aircraft’s fuel tanks to lessen the chance of fire during a crash or in the event that the aircraft receives battle damage.

The Raptor’s on-board oxygen generation system’s woes are no secret to anyone in the military aviation community. The issue has been ongoing for over year and has morphed in various ways over time. The reality is that many high-performance fighter aircraft have had oxygen quality issues at one time or another. The F-22′s OBOGS is not that different (almost identical really) from those installed in other fighters in the DoD’s inventory. The F/A-18 in particular utilizes a very similar system, and early on Naval Aviators had many similar issues with hypoxia related incidents to those that the F-22 is experiencing today. Yet the F-22′s problems seemed to have appeared literally out of thin air (excuse the pun) fairly late in the airframe’s evolution, which would logically point to a durability issue with a specific component in the OBOGS system, although such a cause has not been publicly identified as of yet.

It would seem that carbon monoxide or lack of oxygen is not the only culprit in the ongoing mystery of Raptor pilot poisoning. A POGO report from July of 2011, published right in the middle of the Raptor’s grounding last summer, states that F-22 pilots had a host of chemicals, including anti-freeze, propane and burned polyalphaolefin (synthetic oil) in their blood streams after flights where cognitive of physical issues were reported. The truth is that fighter jets, and especially the F-22, are machines built of many highly toxic materials. Just for starters, high performance anti-freeze cools the Raptor’s avionics. Dangerous composites makeup some of the jet’s flight control surfaces and structures. Beryllium, an incredible toxic metallic  compound, coats high friction parts. And then there is the Raptor’s radar absorbent skin treatments, known as radar absorbent material or RAM. Although these unique applications are highly classified, historically they have been extremely toxic in nature, especially under certain environmental conditions. Then there is the fuel and lubricants that the aircraft consumes or combusts. Basically, modern fighters, and especially high performance stealthy ones like the F-22, would have a surgeon general’s warning and skull and crossbones plastered all over them if they was sold in a drugstore. All this begs the question: Could these toxic substances somehow be making their way into the F-22′s cockpit or oxygen line and making pilots sick?

The F-22 is a unique machine in many ways, especially when it comes to it’s operating environment. The Raptor does it’s deadly deeds not at the typical sustained speeds and altitudes frequented by other fighters. Quite the contrary, the F-22′s powerful turbofan engines, massive control surfaces, and thrust vectoring allow it ascend to a perch approaching 60,000ft. From this lofty position the F-22′s sensors can see farther, its missiles can reach out over greater distances, and the jet can maximize it’s tactical maneuvering advantages to it’s full potential. Yet we must keep in mind that a human’s blood will begin boiling off above 63,000ft, this phenomenon is known as the “The Armstrong Line.” Quite literally Raptor pilots are operating at the very edge of their physical limits on an almost daily basis. To help facilitate operations at these hostile altitudes the F-22′s unique g-suit, known as the “Combat Edge,” is really a partial pressure suit designed to inflate if an F-22 pilot were to lose cabin pressure at high altitude. By doing so it would supposedly provide just enough time to dive back down to thicker air before the pilot blacks out or gets a deadly case of the bends. Putting a high performance fighter jet up this high regularly is somewhat of an uncharted territory, one only realized by unique combat aircraft like the Russian MiG-25. Could the F-22′s woes have something to do with the altitudes they operate at?

The U-2, America’s high-flying glider like sensor truck, and it’s much faster but long since retired cousin the SR-71 Blackbird, operate well above the Raptor’s 60,000ft ceiling and in doing so their pilots must wear astronaut-like pressure suits in order to survive in such low density atmosphere. Even after the better part of half a century, U-2 pilots have experienced decompression sickness and hypoxia due to a myriad of simple and complex problems still caused by this inhospitable environment. It is only recently that the USAF announced it is looking at pressurizing the cabin of the U-2 in order to make it safer and more comfortable for it’s pilots. But still, even with a system that operates where designers are certain that the atmosphere will be inhospitable to human life, similar hypoxia related events have occurred and continue to do so in somewhat alarming numbers. The military looks at these events as an inherent risk, one that can be marginalized through rigorous training more than technology alone. Yet the chronic nature of the Raptor’s “human factors” issues, compounded by the mainstream media’s lack of understanding and general detest for the ultra-expensive fighter have grown this story to truly massive proportions, and the season-long grounding of the entire F-22 fleet only exacerbated this tempestuous public affairs situation.

After a still mysterious and controversial deadly crash of an F-22 in Alaska in 2010 and continued bizarre physiological occurrences experienced by F-22 pilots, the Raptor fleet was grounded for months last summer. After deep inspections, intense testing and scientific investigation the Air Force could not identify the source of the Raptor’s ailment. Subsequently, in September of last year the USAF announced that the F-22 would be put back into service with a series of new measures put in place to mitigate risk and to collect further data in a continuing attempt at diagnosing the F-22, and it’s pilot’s sickness.

The USAF’s fixes that would rationalize putting the jet back into service consisted of installing a redesigned emergency oxygen handle in the Raptor’s cockpit, it’s pilots would have to wear and monitor blood oxygen monitoring devices similar to what you put on your finger in the hospital, and a charcoal filter was installed between the OBOGS and the pilot’s oxygen mask. Further, focused monitoring of operational flights and additional testing were also ordered amongst other smaller tweaks in an effort to find the source of the issue. The addition of a new emergency oxygen handle is a non-ideal “active” measure at remedying this nasty issue. The problem is that a pilot still may not know it’s time to hit the new emergency oxygen switch if they have already entered an altered mental state induced by oxygen deprivation. Or in the pilot of the F-22 that crashed in Alaska’s case, a pilot may have little time to react and toggle the switch even in a situation where the aircraft says there is a bleed air failure and oxygen flow abruptly stops to the pilot’s mask. In other words the redesign of the emergency oxygen switch is a welcome change, although this is not anywhere near a fail-safe solution. An automatic “passive” measure, one that does not require the pilot to ascertain their own hypoxia symptoms (which is something of an oxymoron really) before action is taken would be the best fix short of just figuring out the problem and remedying it mechanically once and for all. Further, the charcoal filters, fitted to not only act as another layer of filtration between the OBOGS and the pilot’s lungs but also as a trap for contaminants that could be examined over time to ascertain what is causing the pilot’s physiological symptoms, ended up doing more harm than good. Remnants of the filter were found to be coating the inside of the Raptor pilot’s oxygen masks, and this seemingly archaic solution may have been the cause of what F-22 pilots call “The Raptor Cough,” a persistent cough that many seemingly perfectly fit Raptor pilots can not get rid of.

THE RECENT OBOGS NON-SCANDAL & THE WHISTLE BLOWING RAPTOR DRIVERS

Beginning about a month or so ago I started receiving emails from some of my contacts stating that the F-22′s OBOGS/hypoxia issue was going to “blow up” in the mainstream press. I was told that a couple of Raptor pilots were coming forward to talk at length to the media about the F-22′s oxygen and poisoning issues. I waited a bit to see how this story developed as I have talked about the topic many times before in the past. After the recent “60 Minutes” expose was aired featuring two whistle blowing (or kind-of whistle blowing) Air National Guard Raptor pilots who have refused to fly the F-22 on safety grounds, and the resulting flurry of written pieces and stories that materialized after have come to pass, I think that I am ready to address these developments head-on.

First off, the “60 Minutes” feature about the F-22′s OBOGS troubles, which really did not feature any new game-changing information about the state of the Raptor fleet, was still very interesting to watch. What was new to the story was that CBS had two Raptor pilots who had “gone rogue” and were speaking candidly about the situation under the protection of a Congressional whistle-blower law which had provisions for military personal who wanted to come forward and expose a deficiency or scandal. These two men, both accomplished combat aviators, took great risk to talk to the press in such an open fashion and without the approval of their command. Their careers in the USAF could have been ruined or highly damaged as a result of their coming forward. Although these men stated some interesting first hand accounts of hypoxia in the F-22, as well as some insight into how the squadrons overall are dealing with this tough problem, such as the talk about the “Raptor Cough,” a physiological phenomenon most likely caused by the aforementioned less than adequate charcoal filters fitted to the jet’s oxygen system as part of the temporary fix that saw the Raptor’s grounding lifted last fall, almost all of the info they discussed were details that USAF had already disclosed in full over the past 12 months or so. In general I really could not define what I was hearing as “whistle blowing” really at all, it was more like disgruntled frustration manifesting itself on national television. Although, maybe others perceived the interview differently.

In the process of preparing to write this piece I have talked to a few of my most valued combat aviator contacts about their opinions in relation to the actions of these two pilots. I wanted to gain a better perspective on the topic from the folks who have flown high-tech hardware in squadrons, some into battle, and to be frank, these discussions were some of the most eye-opening and worthwhile interviews I have ever conducted. Overall they really helped form and better define my opinion on this matter. Also, before I begin I want to state that I realize that the actions of these two pilots is a controversial issue, but this site is one where I try to give you my best evaluation based on the data and opinions at hand. If your opinion differs greatly I totally respect that and please drop me a note to tell me why. Anyway, here goes:

The USAF is not United Airlines or Federal Express. It is alarming that military pilots will just go to the media kicking and screaming over something like this while refusing to continue to perform their assigned duties. As far as going to the media and talking “off the reservation” about facts that are already in the public domain, I really don’t care much about it. To some it may be in bad taste and unbecoming of an officer, to others its taking things into your own hands. To me it really is an afterthought as like I mentioned before, these men did nothing more than call attention to the issue, which may have even been a good thing in retrospect. Where I do have a major problem is with the fact that they refused to fly the aircraft during this period of time, even though the USAF had grounded the aircraft for months and devised an admittedly less than perfect fix after seeing no anomalies in their investigation. According to the USAF they have done everything they can to solve the issue and are fully committed to continue trying to diagnose and fix the problem. In their interview with Diane Sawyer these two pilots gave no new information that is contradictory to this fact. If these pilots would have said “the USAF knows what is wrong with the F-22 and is unwilling to fix it,” or “there are other dangerous issues that would make any common sense person re-ground the jet immediately” that would be one thing, but they did not come forth with such statements or evidence. They simply quit.

In my opinion the whistle blowing Raptor drivers’ decision to stop flying the aircraft and run to the press is not acceptable and raises many questions about their ability to continue in their combat role. If they had gone to the press while still carrying out their duties flying the jet, even if they did not like it, I really could have cared less about their going to the press with their reservations. Once again, their talking to the press is not really a big deal to me and in some ways I think it helped the situation, but the fact that they would not fly the aircraft as ordered is a big issue to me personally. Getting asked to be reassigned or lateraled to another platform is one thing, but neglecting their duties in the process is totally unacceptable.

Do I think that this is a clear-cut, “they were out of line and should be punished beyond reproach” scenario? No I do not. I realize all this is complicated and that these men have their families to think about. Further, hypoxia is a nasty villain, one that is very hard to really defend against if it’s cause is unknown. Further, for a fighter pilot who is trained to remain “in control” and to have clear situational awareness at all times the psychological stress of a heightened possibility of a hypoxia event may be a bit more of a mental terror than it is a physical one when you look at the actual frequency of these events occurring. America’s air warriors are accustomed to fighting all types of threats emanating from outside the cockpit, so having your biggest bogey riding with you in the cockpit, one that is totally stealth and may only be detected until it is too late, must be a serious mind game for America’s finest aerial warriors.

You have to ask yourself, how bad does it have to be for a pair of F-22 pilots, seemingly at the top of their game, to come forward to the press alone. What were the discussions or arguments like in the squadron room before such a rogue action was taken? They must have tossed and turned over how they will fare after “blowing the whistle.” Would their security clearances be at risk? There are many factors to consider, and the USAF’s decision to blame the F-22 crash in Alaska on the pilot, Captain Jeff Haney, when the F-22 is having such clear human factor problems was a bad move by the USAF that surely did not help the situation. I have a feeling that many pilots can deal with the heightened hypoxia risk, but maybe the thought of putting their family through such an awful set of circumstances if they went the way of that doomed F-22 pilot in Alaska is just too much to take. Yet it is important to note that these men were pilots in the Air National Guard, not the active force. They were flying under an associate squadron attached to the banner of the 1st Fighter Wing based at Langley AFB in Virginia. There is a good chance that these men have other jobs and that their careers in the Air Force may have been more expendable than that of a front line pilot’s. Further, the Guard’s more localized command structure and more intimate culture may have made such a decision a bit easier to make than if these men were flying with the active force.

It may not be ideal but US military pilots have flown in “cutting edge” hardware that have had major design flaws since America’s entrance into the world of combat aviation close to a century ago. From structural and avionics deficiencies to engine reliability, military aircraft are no stranger to major “livable” design issues. Whenever you try to make something lighter, faster, more agile and powerful tolerances become tighter and not every possible flaw can be perfectly predicted. Look at the F-14A Tomcat which flew for decades with the troubled TF-30 engines installed. These finicky motors could cause inadvertent flat spins upon failure, and compressor stalls during rapid throttle excursion or at high angles of attack, and accounted for almost 30% of all F-14 accidents. Keep in mind the tomcat was a twin-engined aircraft which should be inherently more reliable than a single engine aircraft. Yet even after a proper replacement had been fielded in the form of the GE-F110-400 turbofan engine mounted in the B and D models, old A models with the troublesome and restrictive TF-30s flew well into the new millennium. There are countless stories like the Tomcat’s where aircraft were dubbed “widow makers” or had major design and component problems that were deemed to costly or impossible to fix, in monetary, national security, or scientific terms, yet aircrews still mounted these machines and went into battle with them time and time again. How is the F-22 Raptor any different? Simply put, it is a dark fact that you cannot always go to war with the military you want, sometimes you have to go to war with the military you have.

The two pilots who spoke to “60 Minutes” surely thought that what they were doing was the right thing for themselves and possibly the nation, and honestly I think their actions will have a positive affect on getting the USAF and industry to find the real culprit, or culprits of the F-22′s OBOGS problem. Surely, the USAF Brass is under a much larger microscope on the issue now than they were a month ago, and even the charcoal filters which were a bogus solution to the problem to begin with were pulled due to health concerns immediately after the interview. Further, just today the DoD announced new restrictions and modifications related to the Raptor’s OBOGS issues. The USAF is speeding up the fielding of automatic emergency oxygen systems, something that could have saved Captain Haney’s life on that dark night over the Alaska wilderness, as well as placing restrictions of how far an F-22 can fly from a divert field. Basically, the jets will now have to be able to immediately divert to a landing spot within close range. This order may see the F-22 end cross ocean deployments for the foreseeable future, and may strand the F-22s currently deployed to the Middle East. All of these measures are prudent and may very well have been a result of the “60 Minutes” expose, yet still, the whistle blowing Raptor pilots should have continued in their very important duties of being one of the less than 200 Raptor pilots in the USAF, a force that it literally the very tip of the spear, while they were chatting with the media. The USAF spent millions of dollars training these men at executing their unique and demanding mission and they should have continued to execute it to the best of their abilities until they were reassigned or an amicable solution could be found.

Now comes the hardest question: should pilots lose their wings for refusing to fly the platform for which they are assigned? This is a tough call. Does losing a pair of Raptor pilots, although apparently there have been others, really make a huge difference in the big scheme of things right now? Probably not. But what about in a time of war? Every aircraft has issues, and during a serious shooting war against a robust enemy with late generation technology American losses could be great and logistical chains could be taxed to their max. In other words pilots may watch many of their friends die in combat and may have to be sent into the fray without the latest missiles or even fully operable systems. Could they simply say “sorry it’s not safe for me to fly this Raptor into combat against J-20s or the latest SU-27s and S400 surface to air missile systems because it’s stealthy skin needs to be reconditioned, or some of the key avionics can not be repaired, or the latest missiles are not available for loading?” To some this may sound absurd, but I don’t think it is. America’s technological and numerological advantage is eroding at a fast pace. Military “parity” in the decades to come on some military levels is no longer a fantasy for rapidly developing states such as China. In other words, as our military capabilities atrophy and our inventories shrink, risk to our warriors increases. If we allow our greatest pilots to opt out of their flying duties over a fairly rare aircraft malfunction that is being examined and worked on as fast as possible what is to say that they will not throw in the towel in a shooting war where not just the enemy’s planes and facilities are blowing up? Also, are pilots treated differently than other military officers? What would happen if a tank commander said he would not step foot in an M-1 Abrams because he thought something about the design was unsafe? Or what if a Navy SEAL refused to go on an assigned mission because he thought rifle he was given was susceptible to jamming? I am not qualified to answer what would happen to these soldiers if they refused to do their duty but such scenarios are interesting comparatives to think about.

I also think that all the blame for these pilot’s actions cannot just be put on them alone. Clearly there was a breakdown in “the process” for these men and their concerns. I think the USAF needs to draw clear lines and eliminate gray areas on this particular type of matter. Maybe a certain provision should be put into place for aircrews who have legitimate concerns with flight safety in relation to their assigned hardware, where instead of sending these crews to a review board or even worse, granting them immunity out of fear of media reprisal after they blow the whistle, they could go through a process of reassignment to a different platform. But this would only make sense if the crews are willing to continue their flying duties until such a process could be completed. Quitting should never be tolerated without adhering to due process unless those involved are willing to take the subsequent administrative reprisal. Some would say: “do you want pilots flying a $200M jet who don’t want to be there?” My answer is this, they are expected to be the best professionals in the world and if they don’t want to be there and are not willing to follow a due process (assuming such a process is created as described above) and they want out of their duties immediately due to a safety concern that the DoD sees as a manageable risk than they should be re-assigned to a non-flying job going forward. The US Government has invested millions of dollars into their training and it does not make sense to continue to do so if they are not willing to continue in their duties until they are reassigned. The risk of investing further in a key individual such as this after such behavior is just to high.

TO GROUND OR NOT TO GROUND? THAT IS THE QUESTION…

During the recent “60 Minutes” piece it seemed like both Raptor pilots wanted to have the Raptor grounded once again. Their main point appeared to be that the jet was originally grounded for a reason, one for which as full solution has not been fully identified or implemented, which leaves the USAF’s rationale for putting the jets back in the air again in question. Yet just a few days ago it came out that both men were willing to go back to flying the F-22 now that the charcoal air filter, put in place as part of the USAF’s rationalization for un-grounding the fleet back in September, had been removed. It is of important value to note that one of the pilots who appeared on “60 Minutes” had requested a waiver to fly without the filter weeks prior before going to the press. This waiver was denied with an additional message that clearly stated that he would be in big trouble if he did not continue his flight duties. It appears that the other pilot had not taken a similar action in regards to the filter. So now the pilot’s true message now seems muttled to some extent.

Should the USAF ground the Raptor and it’s pilots until a full fix is found or should they continue training for battle? When it comes to grounding the world’s most potent fighter jet it all comes down to the level of risk the Pentagon is willing to take, on multiple levels, by flying the jet or by leaving it buttoned up on the apron. Does the F-22 have a problem? Yes. At this point in time has the USAF and industry found a total fix to this issue? No. Does this reality cause trepidation amongst the F-22 pilot corps? Sure it does. Are feelings mixed amongst it’s flight-crews about whether the aircraft is safe to fly? Of-course they are, that is human nature and a symptom of individuality more than a sign that the problem is worse than what has already been disclosed by the USAF.

Risk factors pertaining to operating the F-22 in it’s current condition are not limited to pilot safety and fleet preservation. One has to ask themselves when does national security interests trump an elevated risk of losing a pilot and another Raptor, both precious in their own right? The reality is that the F-22 is a major part of America’s national security apparatus and the ability to defend our interests abroad is directly related to it’s availability for deterrent, combat, and contingency operations. Anyone who says otherwise or refers to the Raptor’s seclusion from the Libyan campaign as a sign of it’s ineffectiveness simply has no clue what they are talking about. The F-22 is the platform that will knock down the door of a capable enemy. If said enemy had a decent air arm, not some aging and token force, and the Raptor was not available for combat, the F-15 and F/A-18 fleets would have to counter such a threat alone. Seeing as these aircraft are not survivable over a territory protected by an integrated air defense system we would have to be ready to accept sizable losses. Then there is the integrated enemy are defense system itself. The B-2, America’s only other known stealth attack asset, is great at hitting many fixed targets on a single clandestine pass, but it is not optimized for hanging out over hostile airspace and re-targeting previously unknown radar and radio emitters and other key nodes of an enemy air defense system. The same can be said for incredibly expensive standoff weapons like SLAM, JSOW and JASSM launched by fighter aircraft, or ALCMs launched by the B-52 fleet, and Tomahawk cruise missiles launched by surface combatants. This is where F-22, paired with the Small Diameter Bomb and it’s new upgrade package shines. It can provide unprecedented counter air capabilities while also being able to knock out mobile SAM sites and other “pop-up” threats on the fly, all the while collecting important intelligence on the enemy’s electronic order of battle for follow-up strikes. Nothing in the US arsenal has such a capability. In other words, in the modern age of plentiful advanced SAM systems and Flanker fighters, the F-22 is necessary to shape the battlefield in preparation for more conventional and numerous non-stealthy air-power to gain a foothold. Thus taking the Raptor fully offline and watching it’s pilot corps’ skills atrophy amounts to a substantial risk to national security.

Unless the USAF is hiding something concerning the Raptor’s toxicity, such as a situation where they know what the causes of it’s oxygen issues are but a full fix would cost billions of dollars to implement so they are looking for a workaround, or if the massive technical scrutiny that the Raptor has been under over the last year has brought to light other dangerous flaws that have not been disclosed, than I think they have taken the right basic steps in the matter. This is not to say that the USAF could not have handled the situation much better. This is especially true when it comes to the fatal crash in Alaska. A situation where the supply of bleed air from the F-22s motors had ceased, this bleed air supplies the OBOGS system, causing it too to fail as well as other key life support systems. This predicament left the pilot diving for the deck in the black of night and suffocating in his oxygen mask while fishing around for a poorly designed emergency oxygen pull ring. The USAF claims that the pilot did not react properly in time to the bleed air failure. Some 30+ seconds after the failure occurred, the jet was diving to lower altitude and and Captain Haney was struggling to toggle his backup oxygen supply. He apparently became disoriented in this dive while fighting for breath (literally the oxygen shut off) and fishing around for the hidden emergency oxygen ring, only beginning to pull out of the dive after it was too late. The USAF’s crash board’s conclusions to this mishap, where they blamed the pilot on the crash, seem suspect as the very emergency oxygen ring that Captain Haney had to pull was deemed inadequately designed and was subsequently totally re-engineered after the crash. Further, as we discussed earlier, a pilot flying at 50,000 that looses oxygen only has less than 10 seconds to get reserve oxygen flowing and/or dive down to lower altitude where the air is thicker before losing consciousness. It very well could have been that the suffocating pilot could have turned acutely hypoxic after struggling to pull the inadequate backup oxygen ring in the pitch black cockpit. Further, there is a fair possibility that Captain Haney only realized that he was in dire straits once it was too late to recover the aircraft as he could have been only partially conscious during the jet’s steep decent.

The USAF’s official stance on the crash is stated as: “The cause of the mishap was the MP’s [mishap pilot] failure to recognize and initiate a timely dive recovery due to channelized attention, breakdown of visual scan and unrecognized spatial disorientation.” Yet General Schwartz now claims that the USAF does not fully blame the pilot, saying at a recent congressional hearing: “We did not assign blame to the pilot…This was a complex contingency that he did his best to manage and, in the end, we lost aircraft control…” The bottom line is that in light of the facts as they stand now concerning the F-22′s inadequate backup oxygen toggle and it’s continuing human factors issues the USAF should make it absolutely clear that lessons were learned from this terrible incident and that the blame does not fall primarily on the pilot in command.

Then there is the question of liability. If the pilot had trouble finding the emergency oxygen switch, and the USAF redesigned it following the crash, is the manufacturer, in this case Lockheed Martin, liable for the death of the pilot? His family thinks so and they are currently suing Lockheed over the incident. Would an acknowledgement in the accident board’s findings stating that the pilot was not responsible for the crash lead to a slam-dunk case for the Raptor pilot’s family and thus produce unprecedented case-law in the process which could have large ramifications for manufacturers and the DoD going forward? I am not lawyer and cannot answer this question, but it is an interesting factor to think about.

Another way that the USAF could have been in front of the recent storm of negative Raptor news would have been to allow the pilots who fly the aircraft to talk freely to the media in the first place. Yes, I realize that this is totally counterintuitive to the way the military generally works, but considering the rogue F-22 pilot’s recent stink on “60 Minutes,” the USAF has set a new precedent for themselves where this unauthorized disclosure can happen without authorization and without reprisal anyway. If the USAF was doing everything it could to fix the issue, and trying to balance national security needs against the safety of aircrews and the integrity of the small F-22 fleet, they should not have feared America’s best and brightest sharing their thoughts the aircraft with the American people, both good and bad. The result of such a non traditional approach to the growing media buzz would have been an honest and clear representation of the incredible capabilities the Raptor brings to our military forces as well as first hand accounts on how the OBOGS issue is being dealt with by the USAF leadership as well as at the squadron level.

If USAF had encouraged it’s Raptor pilots to talk to the media before the “60 Minutes” piece came to pass, people would have been left with a much greater respect for the aircraft and the complexity of the current situation compared the total confusion as to the jet’s value and relevancy that we see today in the mainstream press. In the end this tactic would have most likely lead to a good understanding as to why America needs to support the F-22 program and why electing to ground the jets outright is not such a simple decision. Instead the USAF played it by their same old book where the brass talks about the issue with the media and everyone else related to the program is effectively gagged. This is not the 1960′s, Americans are weary of government cover-ups and do not exactly take government leadership at their word. By giving the guys who put their butts in the cockpit everyday the freedom to discuss the jet’s challenges and triumphs in great detail to the public the issue would have been addressed fully and the Raptor’s positive facets could have also been rightfully showcased along with it’s problems.

On a related note, the USAF really needs to educate the press, many of whom think they are military technology analysts because they have been too Iraq, read the Wall Street Journal, or have worked the Pentagon beat, on what the Raptor’s true capabilities are and how it fits uniquely into America’s future ability to win conflicts even against the most capable of enemies. In recent years there seems to have been a gag order installed across the F-22 program in order to protect it’s “too big to fail” little brother, the F-35. This needs to end as those who have wanted to kill this program for decades have already gotten their wish, sadly the F-22 is fully out of production. The USAF needs to take the gloves off and explain in great detail to the layman just how the F-22 fits into America’s war fighting machine. Further they need to describe how it’s abilities are synergistic with those of the incoming F-35, and even how the Raptor’s capabilities exceed those of the F-35′s in certain respects. Until the USAF says enough is enough and such a media push is made the Raptor bashing and the ill-formed derogatory statements about the jet’s obsolescence will continue. Many highly decorated and respected reporters simply do not understand the intricacies of the ever-changing technology dominated battlespace, a realm where big generalities and superficial conceptual understanding simply does not cut the mustard. The mainstream press’ naivety concerning the F-22 is understandable as it takes years, if not decades to fully grasp the complex and rapidly changing US military puzzle. Sadly, until these folks are really given a true understanding of the Raptor’s capabilities and potential the F-22 fleet will continue to be totally misunderstood and considered by the majority as the USAF’s gold-plated super-fighter boondoggle.

The whole F-22 OBOGS debacle has been unfortunate to say the least. Yet this series of missed opportunities, near-sighted public relations decisions, and sadly the loss of talented pilot’s life does not have to be in vain. The USAF should seize the opportunity to make wrongs right, and change the way they approach these issues on a public relations level, install new protocols for pilots who have safety concerns about their aircraft during a time of peace, and finally learn from the F-22′s engineering design mistakes that grossly inflamed what is an already a challenging problem. In the end the re-engineered emergency oxygen handle that has been installed on all the F-22′s since their grounding cost the USAF only $47 apiece, with the whole order to outfit the fleet totaling under $10,000. This is roughly the cost of 15 minutes of a single Raptor’s flight time. That simple $47 switch could have saved an aircraft worth hundreds of millions of dollars, and more importantly a life. The USAF, DoD and their coddled suppliers need to take a second look at their future designs and think about what if their “perfect engineering” does fail? Are the contingency procedures and pilot interfaces adequate to see such a failure through to a positive conclusion?

Programs such as the F-35, where literally an Apollo type of initiative was put in place to make the aircraft lighter in order to meet design and mission requirements. This weight slashing initiative saw every excess ounce shaved from the jet’s design in order to make the program meet it’s goals. Could such a large and complex design process with incredibly thin weight margins result in even more aggressive “gremlins” embedded deep in the F-35′s guts than it’s  heftier F-22 progenitor? The recent F-22 OBOGS flap should be a red flag to the Joint Strike Fighter program office to do everything possible to see that such flaws do not occur with their fighter. Seeing as the F-35′s manufacturer designed a carrier variant of the jet with a hook that cannot even catch a wire what is to say that there are not other less obvious but more severe issues gestating deep within the aircraft’s complex systems? The program has been pushed to move at breakneck speed, and many of it’s flaws are only being seen now during flight testing. This is alarming as flight testing is great, but in the F-22s case the jet was tested well over a decade before the OBOGS issues became clear. Problem solving should really start at the drawing board, not in the cockpit.

Once the F-35 is fully fielded, if a problem of the magnitude currently being experienced by the F-22 fleet, or one more serious occurs, the DoD would probably not have the luxury of grounding the fleet at all as it would mean the vast majority of American tactical airpower would instantly be deemed impotent. This is a hard idea to fathom but one that must be taken into account as we move forward with a one-size-fits-all single fighter design. And that design is already having a myriad of issues. Further, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and the Obama Administration demanded that this single aircraft solution only have one source for it’s complex powerplant. Seeing as the jet motor is really the most intricate piece of equipment on any jet aircraft this maneuver aimed at saving a couple billion dollars in the near term, although it will probably cost us billions in the long-term through lack of competition, leaves the F-35 with a very large single point of possible failure. For as much as the DoD plans for worst case contingencies they seem to have a highly optimistic view of the complex technology they procure. Sometimes machines, no matter how advanced, malfunction. Unfortunately sometimes this can happen in a mysterious and chronic form. They know this from experience over decade of buying and then flying high performance aircraft. America needs to plan for these eventualities, and putting all your funding behind one troubled design is not conducive to this.

THE RAPTOR WILL FIGHT ON…

It is never easy seeing an already misunderstood and under-supported weapon system like the F-22, one that rightfully touts itself as the most deadly fighter ever created, handicapped by a strange and very unglamorous anomaly like a malfunctioning or poorly designed life support system. Yet why not seize on the positives of a very negative situation and learn from some very costly lessons thus far? It is clear that the DoD can improve the quality and safety of the products it buys as well as the way it handles itself publicly in the face of complex adversity.  The stark truth is that F-22 is not just another fighter, it is the centerpiece of America’s shrinking arsenal and needs to remain potent and ready for battle unless it is absolutely necessary to do otherwise. In the end the F-22 will survive, just as it was originally designed to do, and it will be better than ever once a solution is applied to it’s as of now mysterious ailment. On a personal level I believe in this aircraft’s capabilities to such an extent that I hope the next whistle that is blown regarding the Raptor is at the start of the first shift of a newly restarted F-22 production line where new and improved Raptor variants are being built by the hundreds.

*Photos via USAF

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THANK GOODNESS: THE USAF WILL NOT REPLACE THEIR A-10s WITH F-35Bs

Flightglobal has a nice little piece about the USAF’s confirmation that it will not procure the F-35B, although not mainly due to capability gaps but because the USAF thinks the F-35B has a lower sortie rate than what is desired. Oddly enough the Marines think otherwise, they say the F-35B’s sortie rate will clobber those of the USAF’s A model or the Navy’s C model. As with many things JSF, confusion seems to reign supreme even amongst those at the top of the information ladder.

The real reason why the USAF should not buy the F-35B to replace the A-10 is survivability of the old school variety. If you “own” the airspace over a conflict area to the point that you insert ground forces than the A-10 can provide surgical support to those forces to a level that the F-35 is simply incapable of doing. During Operation Iraq Freedom we “owned” the airspace over and around Baghdad, having struck all fixed SAM and air defense node positions before sending in the A-10s. Yet still multiple A-10′s took heavy battle damage in their marvelous and courageous runs “downtown” to support US armored columns entering the sprawling Baghdad metropolis. Loitering A-10′s were literally called on to take out an enemy sniper’s nests in 15 story buildings using their 30mm cannon, or to plant bombs on armored targets huddled around urban overpasses. Meanwhile they would be dodging shoulder fired SAMs, small arms fire, and anti-aircraft artillery the best they could. Sometimes physics won and A-10s would get shot up badly. If this were to have happened to an F-35B the aircraft would have blown up or the pilots would have ejected. Contrarily, the A-10 pilots limped their mounts back to friendly bases for extensive repairs. In the end the A-10, a machine built to plink tanks above the prairies and forests of Europe, proved itself to be the ultimate fixed wing urban warrior.

Why would commanders risk a $150M, unarmored asset low over a city? The reality is that the F-35 will spend it’s career above 15,000ft, outside of the threat of small arms fire, most AAA, and shoulder fired heat seeking missiles. The gun pod being fielded with the F-35B and C, although capable, seems like somewhat of a waste of money as you would have to put the jet at great risk to use it and as far as I know that big F135 motor puts out a lot of heat and the jet does not have a cloaking device, yet. The A-10 was built to do it’s business in environments where reduced radar cross-section is pretty far down on the list of necessities needed in order to get the job done. Further, if there is a robust enemy fighter threat still in place there probably will not be any troops on the ground to support anyways. The whole Marine landing mission is of a totally different story and I do not doubt the F-35B’s validity toward that mission set, in fact I applaud it. I have said time and time again that the most valuable F-35 variants are the B first and the C second, the A being totally dispensable.

Although the USAF may not replace the A-10 with the F-35B there is no reason why the F-35B is still not relevant to the USAF. The aircraft can operate from tiny austere airstrips which would be a big plus in the event of a war in Pacific, where huge concrete runways are big targets and in small supply. The F-35B would allow the USAF to operate by choice from currently non-strategically important islands in the Pacific, which will greatly increase sortie generation rates and tanker dependence via greatly reduced mission lengths. Further the survivability of the aircraft themselves will be greatly enhanced as like any aircraft they are most vulnerable while sitting on the ground.

If the DoD is going to continue with the F-35 program as a whole, which they almost certainly will, the USAF should take another look at the F-35B. It would be a great capability to have under the air-sea battle concept and the emerging Pacific focused defense doctrine. But like so many other “dated” technologies, the A-10 is indispensable and a national treasure, one that offers the finest close air support capability the world has ever seen and an emerging littoral warfare capability that could see it become the weapon of choice in busting up swarms of low tech fast attack boats and mine laying craft in the muddy waters of the world.

Long live the Warthog.

http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/usaf-f-35b-cannot-generate-enough-sorties-to-replace-a-10-371985/

Filed in News, Opinon, The F-35 Saga | 2 Comments

MORE INFO ON NAVAIR’S FUTURE WISH LIST

Pretty much everything in the link below has been talked about in detail on this site already, but this piece does underline the reality that the Navy’s F/A-XX pipe-dream is looking more like an updated F-22, similar to the long defunct NATF program, than anything else. The idea that the Navy will be able to afford putting another clean sheet design high-end fighter platform into production in the next couple of decades or so, even if the programs get’s merged with emerging USAF requirements to become a joint USAF/NAVY program, seems absurd and totally unrealistic. The replacement for the F/A-18E/F/G in the 2030 time-frame will be most likely more F-35Cs and/or unmanned combat aerial vehicles.

http://www.aviationweek.com/Article.aspx?id=/article-xml/AW_05_14_2012_p43-453524.xml&p=1

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McRAVEN WANT’S A GLOBAL NETWORK CONNECTING ALLIED SPECIAL OPERATIONS UNITS

Admiral McRaven is an all-star in the White House’s mind and many across the services like his brand of special operation doctrine. His new and intriguing idea of a confederated approach to addressing special operations needs around the world sounds like a great idea. Building stronger military ties, especially in the special operations community, is a fantastic way to bring countries closer together and more mindful of each others fears and needs. Further, by working together on a whole new level of international “jointness” that will span borders across the globe, there will be new synergies realized for multinational training and standardization as well as intelligence gathering and sharing. Additionally, high end assets, such as UAV’s and insertion craft could be integrated jointly in an international fashion. For instance, a particular operation in Malaysia that America has a special interest in could be carried out by indigenous Malaysian special forces operators who are trained in common US technologies and procedures, while satellite imagery, Predator over-watch and advanced communications could be supplied by the United States.

Such a concept, possibly analogous to NATO’s military organization but on a geographically broader yet administratively miniaturized level, could amount to America carrying less of the world’s special operations burden. A possibility that is all to enticing after almost a decade constant American special operations engagements around the globe.

http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120512/DEFREG02/305120003/U-S-Seeks-Global-Spec-Ops-Network?odyssey=mod|newswell|text|FRONTPAGE|p

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SECOND J-20 PROTOTYPE SHOWS SIGNS OF MATURITY

Alert5.com posted a nice comparison of the two aircraft. It’s a bit of a “Where’s Waldo” type of exercise but if you look closely you can see some slight changes between the two prototypes, and thanks goodness they finally got that hideous gear door closed!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

*Side note, I know I have mentioned this before but if you are looking for some straight military aviation news on a daily basis, Alert5 does a great job of collecting different pieces from around the globe for your viewing pleasure.

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MORE AGEING HARDWARE GETS AXED DUE TO ONGOING BUDGETARY TURMOIL

The last four years have been littered with orphaned capabilities and weapon systems that were thought of as irreplaceable less than a half decade ago. Much of the time the oldest hardware gets the boot, although these systems are still seen as effective in their roles. This week we have heard of two more “old soldiers” that are on the fiscal cutting block: The Australian C-130H fleet and the Spanish aircraft carrier Principe de Asturias.

Australia’s decision to retire their “legacy” Hercules fleet early is no doubt a blow to the force, but not a massive one as the country has a good corps of new C-130Js to pick up the slack, as well as C-17s and new Airbus KC-30 tanker/transports for longer reach missions. Spain on the other hand has only two aircraft carriers. The Principe de Asturias is a dedicated Harrier/helicopter carrier and is decades old and in bad need of a major overhaul. Their other carrier, the multi-role Juan Carlos, is much newer and serves more as an advanced helicopter landing dock, with provisions for a large ground combatant force and a well deck for transportation of large combat vehicles via hovercraft and landing craft. With the possible mothballing of the Principe de Asturias looming the Spanish Navy may go down to a single ship for which it can operate it’s contingent of advanced AV-8B Harriers.

There is no doubt that these slashing budgetary cuts will continue not just abroad but here in the US as well. The “painful” cuts experienced recently by the DoD, where roughly half a trillion dollars was cut over the next ten years out of the DoD’s projected budget, may have been only a sprinkle before the looming downpour. The sequestration measures triggered by the Congressional “Super Committee’s” inability to recommend a bipartisan plan to cut the national deficient could result in much deeper cuts, ones that will inevitably hollow out the force. If the sequestration’s impact cannot be avoided the big questions will become what will get the axe? This time it may not be just a squadron or ship here and there, but it could be entire classes of ships or types of aircraft as a whole. Sadly, the it is inevitable that leadership in DC’s choices for what lives and what dies will most likely be mired in special interest politics and favoritism placed towards pie in the sky, one-size-fits-all, super-expensive weaponry. In the end the American war fighter will most likely suffer much worse than they would really have to.

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MEET THE LATEST HARDWARE: KILLER DEFENSE CONTRACTOR PROMO VIDEOS

THE SIKORSKY CH-53K IS GOING TO BE ONE BAD BITCH

This things should be the USMC’s top priority. “Shitters” make it happen, when they can actually fly. The current fleet is hurting bad from what I hear. A new machine that improves on the DoD’s most powerful chopper, the CH-53E, is well worth tax payer dollars. There is no doubt that the “Kilo” will set a new standard for enabling Marines in applying their unique products of warfare: sweat and full metal jackets by the tonnage:

MEET THE QUEEN ELIZABETH CLASS CARRIERS:

Now that we know they will be outfitted for the F-35B and STOVL operations this fantastic video is much more relevant. These are some damn big ships:

LOCKHEED’S DYNAMIC AIR & MISSILE RADAR

New multi-mode & high-speed surface combatant radar concept being tested by the folks at Lockheed to combat the growing threat from supersonic air-breathing and ballistic anti-ship missiles:

MEET THE MC-130J COMBAT SHADOW II

I will miss the smokey legacy spec ops Hercs but the new birds are a big step up in capability:

LIKE A FINE WINE THE M60 MACHINE GUN ONLY GETS BETTER WITH AGE

I know the SEALs still love the M60, and this new facelift on the legendary belt fed buzz saw is surely a welcome evolution for America’s super warriors.

THE INDEPENDENCE CLASS LITTORAL COMBAT SHIP’S FEATURES EXPLAINED

We have been talking a ton about the Littoral Combat Ship lately and I wanted to post a supporting video of what features make it different from others ships. Keep in mind this video does not show you all the places where the LCS lacks capabilities as well, mainly in the realm of survivability and offensive punch:

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MITSUBISHI F-2s!

 

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NAT GEO GOES INSIDE A SUPER CARRIER

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F-35 JOINT STRIKE FIGHTER ROLLER COASTER!: UK SETTLES ON F-35B, SUPER HELMET MAY WORK NOW, MORE UP-BEAT SPIN FROM PROGRAM BRASS, NAVY IN FANTASY-LAND OVER 6TH GENERATION FIGHTER WISHES

LOGIC PREVAILS! THE UK RE-SELECTS F-35B

As predicted here since the day the news hit that the UK would switch their requirement for a carrier fighter from the F-35B to the F-35C the Cameron government and MoD have realized just how near-sighted that decision was and will once again procure the short takeoff and vertical landing capable F-35B. In addition, the savings garnered from not having to install catapults, arresting gear, and other costly conventional carrier associated equipment will apparently allow the Royal Navy to actually operate both carriers that they have already committed to purchase. Under the strategic defense review it was determined that one carrier would be mothballed, possibly shared, or even sold and one would be put into active service. The decision to operate both carriers is great news as having two ships in active inventory will allow the UK to have a single ship almost always available for emergency operations.

The next big question, one we may have to wait a while to have answered, is exactly how many F-35Bs will be procured by the UK? Hopefully the MoD will look at this issue realistically as there is little use for two aircraft carriers if you have no planes to operate on them. I do think it will be inevitable that the USMC will deploy regularly aboard the UK’s Queen Elizabeth Class carriers. If such deployments are proven effective they could turn into a joint-use agreement between the two countries which would see such joint-cruises become standard operating procedure. This would take some serious financial weight off the UK as they would have to purchase less aircraft and it would make sense for the USMC as well, who currently lack a forward deployed squadron in that part of the world.

I have written on this subject extensively, and I have to underline once again that I have nothing but praise for the Cameron Government for truly realizing the economic and operational realities of their previous choice, and fixing this mistake before it would be to late.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/defence/9253377/About-turn-on-new-variant-of-carriers-fighter-plane.html

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F-35′s CYBORG LIKE HELMET MAY BE FIXED

The F-35′s helmet mounted display (HMD) and the aircraft’s game changing distributive aperture system (DAS) was originally one of the main selling points of the F-35, and without it the aircraft would lose some pretty awesome capabilities that go well beyond easily pointing targeting sensors or 360′ night vision. This is why it was such a disappointment when serious problems with the system, including jitter and latency, in other words lag, were disclosed over the past year or so. The system was so fouled that the Joint Strike Fighter office and Lockheed began integrating a less advanced helmet made by BAE just as an alternative to the more enticing but troubled option. It seems now that there may be a fix in the works that has not been verified in flight testing but has apparently performed well in lab tests. If these fixes work it would be a great piece of positive and worthy news for the troubled program.

http://www.defensenews.com/article/20120508/DEFREG02/305080005/Fixes-F-35-Helmet-Works?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|FRONTPAGE

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BRILLIANT SPIN: “GOOD OLD FASHIONED ENGINEERING WILL FIX ALL OF THE F-35′s PROBLEMS…”

DoDBuzz.com has a writeup on the status of the F-35 program that contains some quotes from program lead Vice Adm. David Venlet taken during a recent congressional hearing on the Joint Strike Fighter. The super upbeat and optimistic view on the project held by Admiral Venlet, sprinkled with quick admissions of major problems, is interesting in that its all very nonchalant, almost as if America has all the time and money in the world to fix this thing and make it all work properly:

“Good old fashioned engineering is going to take care of every one of those (issues) and we will work on those hard enough that they’re deemed good enough by the fleet.”

Of course “good old fashioned engineering” will fix the F-35′s woes but as I have said time and time again it is not a question of if the F-35 will be a useable weapon system, it’s a question of how much will it cost and how long will it take to make this happen? Predicted to be well over $100M a copy once the program stabilizes and the F-35 is deep in production, and much more expensive now, will the F-35 really be a value to the American tax payer and the war-fighter? If costs continue to rise and procurement continues to drop I think this will be a very tough question to answer in the affirmative.

I find it disturbing that those currently involved on an executive level with the program have no idea when the system will be available for real-world operations. It’s as if the DoD and the private sector have given up on schedules totally. This is NOT a good sign for a program as complex and as expensive as this one, as the program is only 1/4 through its initial test schedule. If the pace stays fairly consistent, with no major mishaps or issues, than one would have to guess the F-35′s true initial operational capability (not a fabricated one that allows the jets to be flown with gobs of restrictions) will come to pass closer to 2020 than previously envisioned.

On another note, the F-35C’s tailhook still seems to be an issue. Vice Adm. Walter Skinner, who also spoke at the hearing, noted that there still remains a lot of work to be done when it comes to fixing the F-35C’s hook design. He further described the situation as thus:

“The hook not engaging has happened to other aircraft besides the F-35… We’ve gone through initial fault trees for that occurrence, we’re still in analysis, we’ll have a preliminary design review at end of next month, at which time we’ll be able to ascertain the scope of the fix, the cost, and if there will be a schedule penalty associated with implementation.”

Its funny, all these issues seem to have lengthy “studies” and “analysis” done on them. When I hear this sort of thing all I see is dollar signs. Further, with all due respect to Admiral Skinner, yes other aircraft have had this problem but none of them were a low observable design where the hook is of a finite length and has to be integrated into the guts of the jet. And this jet has little space to lengthen the contraption as it there simply is no more fuselage to extend it into. Further, these “other aircraft” were not actually dependent on a single common design for two other variants of the same jet. In other words, how will the projected fixes impact “commonality” with other F-35 variants and thus price and schedule. Will there have to be costly retrofits across the board? Will the designed fix be so complex that it will invite safety and reliability concerns for what is one of the most important parts of a carrier aircraft? The questions just go on and on. Once again, they will fix it but at what cost and how on earth was this missed in the initial design stages and why does the American taxpayer have to pay for it?!?!?

I think Congress would be smart to haul in folks that are not in the military, or involved with this program or it’s vendors directly, or do not receive a paycheck because of it, such as outside analysts and others, to give their thoughts on the situation. Further, these folks could give their alternatives to the F-35 program and explain to the folks who hold the purse strings that there are other options available to the US military than this aircraft alone. In many ways these other options would result in savings and a more flexible and resilient fighting force. The current congressional echo-chamber where beating up on DoD and industry execs and military brass who have a vested interest in this program have become a ridiculous and circular exercise. By letting some other folks be heard lawmakers may finally realize that they are being duped day in and day out by the same car salesman who sold them this lemon of an idea in the first place.

I realize that these are harsh words, but I care about my country and our military and this whole ordeal has highlighted just how unsustainable and broken the current DoD and Congressional ways of running a weapons program have become. Frankly, its a matter of national security and it needs to change.

http://www.dodbuzz.com/2012/05/08/f-35-boss-were-getting-it-right-just-give-us-time/

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F/A-XX RISES EYEBROWS ON THE US NAVY’S COMMITMENT TO THE JOINT STRIKE FIGHTER PROGRAM

The Navy is interested in getting the ball rolling for the Super Hornet’s replacement, now called the F/A-XX 6th Generation Fighter. This aircraft is supposed to be fielded sometime in the 2030s as the Super Hornets will be meeting their design life limits at around that time. Sounds great right? Well it really is not.

First off the Navy cannot afford, in any possible realm of the imagination, the F-35C and a new 6th generation fighter in the timeline currently proposed. If the US Navy actually thinks a 6th generation fighter will be needed in the time-frame they have specified than they need to pull out of the F-35 program right now and begin working on that system so it can be fielded within about a decade or so, a decade sooner than their current fantasy-land time-frame. Why? Because the USN will have some very expensive carriers with no first day of war capable fighter aircraft onboard and will be totally reliant on extremely expensive standoff weapons for opening strikes of any kind. Seeing how US Carriers are our “911″ expeditionary force, and seeing how the Pacific theater, where the DoD is focusing in the future, has limited land basing options, this would be a very unfortunate situation. By the mid to late-2020s, decks full of Super Hornets alone will be a fairly impotent fighting force against an enemy with advanced fighters and a robust integrated air defense system. So, if the USN want a new 6th generation jet, they need to cancel the F-35C immedietly and begin dumping funds into the F/A-XX concept now.

The reality is that if the Joint Strike Fighter is to continue on, and it almost certainly will, the Navy and the Marines are the ones who will benefit the most from it. They will both be able to forward deploy stealth assets for the first time to any trouble spots around the globe with ease via their floating carriers and helicopter docks. Further, the F-35C will give the US Navy the first day of war punch that was originally promised to them via the A-12 Avenger some 20 years ago. Additionally, the F-35C/Super Hornet combo really will complement each other nicely on CVN decks. Otherwise, if the USN cancelled the F-35 and bought more Super Hornets in the meantime and waited till the mid to late 2030s for their dreamy 6th generation superfighter as proposed, they would basically make their prized super carriers irrelevant in the coming decade and beyond, and irrelevant is not a good thing to be when it comes to making the case for continued funding of these floating cities that basically burn cash like diesel.

If the F-35C makes it to the decks of US carriers than the replacement for the expired Super Hornets in the 2030s and beyond will be updated F-35Cs and unmanned combat air vehicles (UCAVs), not a new superfighter airframe. Honestly I am a little blown away that the Navy would be so numb to the fiscal realities in Washington right now that they would float this idea without saying directly that its an alternative to the F-35C and will come a decade sooner to replace a void left by it if need be.
http://www.flightglobal.com/news/articles/senior-official-raises-fa-xx-doubts-while-retired-usmc-generals-question-usns-f-35-commitment-371442/

Filed in News, Opinon, The F-35 Saga | 7 Comments

THOUGHTS ON AVIATION WEEK’S SCATHING NARRATIVE ON THE FREEDOM CLASS LCS AND POSSIBLE ALTERNATIVES TO IT

http://www.aviationweek.com/Article.aspx?id=/article-xml/awx_05_09_2012_p0-456228.xml&p=1

We know the LCS concept is both controversial and marred with strange capability gaps and quality control issues, but the piece linked above, written by Michael Fabey over at Aviation Week, really gives us a raw view into this troubled program. The article mainly deals with the USS Freedom (LCS-1), but the conceptual issues with the Littoral Combat Ship also spill into the USS Independence (LCS-2)/Independence Class as well, although there are capability differences between them. The fact that there are two distinct variants of the LCS concept also begs the question: If one class is riddled with structural and availability issues why not just build the alternative class alone? Do we really need two types of a ship this size that cannot even be used for air defense or large-scale offensive strike? The Navy should just pick the better of the two and be happy that the whole Littoral Combat Ship initiative has not been cancelled in full, as it’s utility and innovation seems to be decreasing as the validity of its original concept of operation and construction erode.

I have to be honest here, I have never been a fan of the LCS concept. Like the Joint Strike Fighter, it forces a lot of varied capabilities into a single under-engineered system that seems to miss the whole picture of what a “fighting ship” should be. Why not just build, license, or purchase an Perry Class sized frigate with room for a couple interchangeable mission modules, a small vertical launch system for air defense and ground attack missiles, and a ramp at the back for special forces to drive their rigid inflatable boats up onto while the ship is underway? Does 20kts of speed really matter that much in this day and age of over the horizon warfare, anti-ship missiles, and aerial attack? Are the LCSs really planning on going into “battle” using their speed? It sounds so archaic. They are massive targets for goodness sake not fast attack cigarette boats!

It seems like the US Navy needs a multi-mission fighting frigate and instead they have built a militarized ferry with minimal survivability or offensive punch. Why not just build a good all around frigate for missions that do not require an AEGIS cruiser and purchase cheaper ferry derived craft such as the “Sea Fighter” for true littoral warfare tasks?

I seriously think there needs to be a new term for when US military leadership so desperately pushes a new concept and then sticks to it even when it’s very philosophy begins to be proven highly flawed. It may be innovative and it may offer some limited new capabilities and efficiencies but at what cost monetarily and to the overall total force combat punch of our surface warfare inventory? Maybe it’s just the warrior spirit inside our Generals and Admirals, which I admire, but sometimes an idea seems good and logical, but turns out the contrary. That is just life. The best way to get out of a developmental hole is to stop digging!

 

 

 

 

 

A domestic alternative to the LCS is Ingalls Shipyard’s surface combatant variant of the National Security Cutter currently in service with the US Coast Guard. This ship concept is named the Patrol Frigate 4501/4921. The Patrol Frigates would feature lower operating costs and a more traditional approach to ship design to lower risk. Many of the same systems that are featured on the LCS would be included in the Patrol Frigate, including a large flight deck and hangar, missionized equipment areas, and launch and recovery ramp for special boat operations on the stern, but it would also boast a 3D air defense radar and 12 to 24 cell vertical launch system for air defense and ground attack missiles. The National Security Cutters have been performing very well for the Coast Guard and have proven their worth on a surprisingly large array of missions. Further, studies have been done pitting the Patrol Frigate against the LCS and the results are eye opening. The bottom-line is that Patrol Frigates would bridge the gap between the LCS, Perry Class Frigates that have all but disappeared from US Naval Ports, and the powerful AEIGS class of cruisers and destroyers currently in inventory. Further, it would the Patrol Frigate provides for more robust unitary operations and survivability than the LCS it aims at upstaging.

America has maintained undisputed naval supremacy for the better part of a century. In the end one has to ask themselves does the opportunity cost being spent on the LCS help or hurt our chances of maintaining this supremacy in the future? I would say in the long run it will hurt it. It is a ship with an identity crisis and our Navy would be better served by more traditional and cost-effective modern multi-mission ship that is capable of surviving in medium threat environments, such as the Ingalls Patrol Frigate, or even a similar system that is commercially available from our allies. If there remains to be extremely shallow depth oriented missions or unique tasks that such a frigate cannot perform, then purchase the specific assets you need to perform those tasks instead of a less effective and vulnerable one size fits all solution.

SIDE NOTE: I know there has been a lot of naval ship news lately, I am kinda on a ship kick I guess, and yes the F-22 Oxygen flap editorial should be up soon. Thanks for all the emails asking for it, I just thought it was to dynamic a time to post on the subject as it was changing rapidly and I wanted to talk to a few sources inside the USAF first.

 

Filed in News, Opinon | 4 Comments

ARCHAIC C-5 “MARKETING” VIDEO!

I just love these retro aircraft films…

Filed in video | 5 Comments

FUNKY VIDEO THAT SHOWCASES THE FINE DETAILS OF CHINA’S J-20

The soundtrack and the editing are a little cheesy but the montage of detail shots is useful. Of particular note, the J-20 is a beast of a jet, just look at the shot of the guy standing in the wheel well!

Filed in China Rising, video | Comment Now

TAIWAN GETS SLAPPED WITH A FAT F-16 UPGRADE BID, WANT’S NEW F-16s, MAY WAIT FOR F-35B

http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2012/05/08/2003532288

Just as suggested here recently, Taiwan is realizing that the right jet to survive and prevail against possible Chinese aggression is not the latest model F-16 but the short takeoff and vertical landing variant of the Joint Strike Fighter, otherwise known as the F-35B. Taiwan is really the perfect customer for the F-35B, geographically they are sitting on China’s doorstep and they are strategically focused of dispersed fighter operations due to the threat post by China’s ballistic and cruise missiles. As discussed in the Aviationintel piece linked at the bottom of this post, the F-35B would not only allow Taiwan to field 5th generation stealth technology as a deterrent toward Chinese aggression, but it would also allow them to operate off of small concrete pads, less that 1,000′ in length, instead of large stretches of highway which are still vulnerable to ballistic and cruise missile barrages. Further, the F-35B fits Taiwan’s value of sortie generation and survivability over range and offensive punch. This is a no-brainer for the Obama Administration and would be a huge boost for the F-35 program, and especially the troubled B variant.

I do find it strange that Taiwan would decide to wait for the F-35B when the US Government is currently not even willing to clear the sale of new fourth generation F-16s, an aircraft that we even recently sold Pakistan. Adding insult to injury, the comprehensive upgrade package for their existing F-16A/B fleet that the White House insisted on in lieu of new aircraft was originally quoted at costing some $35M+ per aircraft! This did not even include the high price of testing and integrating a new modular AESA radar into their decades old F-16s, a cost that the USAF, who is planning on upgrading their own F-16′s similarly, would love to pass off on the Taiwanese. The Obama Administration is wrong on this, Taiwan should be able to buy anything they ask for that we already export to similar allies. Further, they should be offered a place at the fragile F-35 table if they are willing to pony up and purchase the jets. The White House’s disconnect on this topic blows my mind as their very own shift in strategic focus pretty much dictates the need for our allies in Pacific region to be armed with the latest and greatest exportable US weaponry so that we don’t have to constantly fill the deterrent role vis-a-vis China. Maybe more importantly, by allowing our allies to arm themselves with 5th generation fighters, if things ever heat up in the region America will have a constantly “deployed” force of highly capable aircraft that can fight alongside our air forces instead of behind them, all at no cost to the US taxpayer.

Recent Aviationintel article on the topic:

http://aviationintel.com/2012/04/29/has-common-sense-arrived-in-washington-dc-white-house-re-evaluating-taiwans-request-for-brand-new-f-16-vipers/

 

Filed in News, Opinon | 6 Comments